UPDATE 2 PM Tuesday -
For the Philly Metro and the I-95 corridor...
NAM model
0.5 to 1.5 inches of snow
GFS model
3 to 5 + inches of snow, with rain to start
My expectation:
1 to 4 + inches of snow by Wednesday evening seems likely...rain with some mixing to start.
Timing of storm still on target.
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UPDATE 1:30 PM Monday - New data today looks pretty much unchanged.
Minor event ahead.
1 to 2 inches of snow mixed with rain and sleet on the GFS and "Just Flurries" on the NAM.
Don't expect much, as the trend keeps most of the energy out to sea.
Timing of the event is still on target.
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This week's snowstorm still looks powerful,
but is pushing farther out to sea, suggesting that we get a nuisance event here in the Mid-Atlantic.
This is still great news for those who are "winter-weary."
The storm will be crossing the Gulf of Mexico from West to East and skirting across Northern Florida before riding up portions of the Eastern Seaboard.
This storm track may adjust a bit over the next couple of days, which means snowfall amounts could change.
However, as of right now,
this is a minor event...
Start time ?
Late Tuesday night (mainly after 10 PM) and lasting "on and off" on Wednesday (March 2nd and 3rd).
For the Philly Metro and the I-95 corridor...
7 AM Wednesday morning, March 3rd - Global Forecast System (GFS) model, based on today's 12z run (7 AM)
Courtesy: NCEP
GFS is yielding under 0.15 inches of liquid or
0.5 to 2.0 inches of snow with some light mixing
For the Philly Metro and the I-95 corridor...
7 AM Wednesday morning, March 3rd - North American Mesoscale (NAM) model, based on today's 12z run (7 AM)
Courtesy: NCEP
NAM is yielding around 0.10 inches of liquid or
0.5 to 1.5 inches of snow with some light mixing
Stay tuned.
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